Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.020273 0.023621 0.027316 0.031691 0.036728 0.042339 0.049058
2025-11-09 0.014850 0.019072 0.024169 0.030756 0.039027 0.049048 0.062090
2025-11-16 0.011600 0.016218 0.022241 0.030635 0.041983 0.056744 0.077342
2025-11-23 0.009081 0.013699 0.020156 0.029772 0.043648 0.062848 0.091312
2025-11-30 0.007852 0.012667 0.019819 0.031108 0.048344 0.073499 0.112771
2025-12-07 0.006596 0.011322 0.018748 0.031111 0.050982 0.081418 0.131209
2025-12-14 0.005414 0.009854 0.017206 0.030070 0.051760 0.086499 0.145825
2025-12-21 0.004609 0.008856 0.016237 0.029755 0.053564 0.093276 0.163783
2025-12-28 0.004249 0.008571 0.016417 0.031383 0.058785 0.106155 0.193193
2026-01-04 0.003837 0.008111 0.016201 0.032245 0.062723 0.117235 0.220693
2026-01-11 0.003276 0.007259 0.015117 0.031319 0.063245 0.122298 0.238009
2026-01-18 0.002872 0.006653 0.014412 0.031004 0.064836 0.129405 0.259732
2026-01-25 0.002455 0.005955 0.013433 0.030034 0.065091 0.134167 0.277858
2026-02-01 0.002120 0.005378 0.012619 0.029286 0.065688 0.139650 0.298010
2026-02-08 0.001888 0.004997 0.012166 0.029241 0.067734 0.148218 0.325242
2026-02-15 0.001637 0.004522 0.011429 0.028450 0.068056 0.153264 0.345755
2026-02-22 0.001548 0.004439 0.011590 0.029749 0.073182 0.168966 0.390417
2026-03-01 0.001394 0.004158 0.011233 0.029761 0.075354 0.178499 0.422710
2026-03-08 0.001210 0.003757 0.010511 0.028768 0.075023 0.182430 0.442970
2026-03-15 0.001081 0.003490 0.010088 0.028468 0.076324 0.190186 0.472698
2026-03-22 0.001044 0.003485 0.010366 0.030031 0.082449 0.209796 0.531933
2026-03-29 0.000981 0.003386 0.010368 0.030858 0.086796 0.225618 0.583748
2026-04-05 0.000863 0.003093 0.009778 0.029971 0.086556 0.230270 0.609020